Gartner Reveals Top 10 Technologies

Gartner Top 10 Technologies For 2008
Gartner Top 10 Technologies For 2008

The good folks over at the Gartner Group have revealed the top 10 technologies that they believe will change the world over the next four years:

  1. Multicore and hybrid processors
  2. Virtualization and fabric computing
  3. Social networks and social software
  4. Cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms
  5. Web mashups
  6. User Interface
  7. Ubiquitous computing
  8. Contextual computing
  9. Augmented reality
  10. Semantics

What caught my attention were items 1-4. I think that Gartner got it right this time around. Muticore servers and virtualization will mean that firms will need fewer boxes and apps can be easily moved from box to box (and right out the door to an outsourced data center). Workplace social networks and cloud computing means that the need for a centralized IT department will go away. Firms will no longer need to own/maintain the boxes that they use to run their firm’s apps. With no need to touch a box, there will be no need to have the IT staff co-located with the boxes. Oh, oh — can you hear your job going away?

What does this all mean, and more importantly what should a successful IT staffer (or CIO) do today? The key to your future success is to understand how IT is going to change and what you need to do to change with it. IT is going to become much more about information and how it can be used to help the business grow and prosper. This IT function is going to leave the IT department as we know it today and will migrate into the business unit itself. What this means to you is that you need to know what your firm does, and even more importantly, how it does it. The next question will be what information is needed by the business units to improve how they do their work. This is what tomorrow’s IT staff will provide. Thanks Gartner for the peek into the future!

25 thoughts on “Gartner Reveals Top 10 Technologies”

  1. Is this an ordered list? ’cause I really doubt that augmented reality and “web mashups” will be more important than the Semantic Web.

  2. I believe that last one is the most interesting; Semantics.
    We have a ton of computing power already but no doubt we will need more before the end of next week.

    However if more clever information processing were done with the data that’s all around us we could do wonders.

  3. 1. Multicore/hybrid: No; this will not change the world. It is simply good old Moore’s law plodding along.

    A better choice would have been Solid State Storage Devices.

    2. Virt./Fabric: Agree

    3. Social: No; while this been a locus of the “Web 2.0” buzz, it is nothing new to business: it’s what used to be called “collaboration”. And while collaboration is important, there is only so much room for “democratization” within corporate business models, supply chains, and business processes. Instant Messaging hasn’t changed the world either. Social is done making its changes.

    Better: substitute “fiber to the curb/desktop”.

    4. Cloud: agree

    5. Web mashups: No; get off the buzz bandwagon. This is nothing new. The core concept is integration. What is new is the effectiveness of new underlying client/server technologies which are making it feasible to efficiently create feature- and content-rich web-based applications that are also responsive enough for use.

    A better choice would have been “asynchronous web-app frameworks” (Ajax, Ruby on Rails, Django, etc.)

    6. UI: no; not within 4 years.

    Better: substitute “Open Source / FOSS”

    7. Ubuquitous: no; same trend plodding along. No world-changing difference within 4 years.

    Better: substitute “Realization of voice/data infrastructure convergence. IP telephony gains mainstream acceptance. Business model shakeup among telephony, cable, layer 3/4 network providers.”

    8. Contextual: maybe, but this is probably too narrow

    Better: redefine as “pervasive wireless infrastructure (enabling location-based services, contextual computing, etc.)”

    9. Augmented reality: no; not in 4 year horizon. We will see some, but not enough that it’s changing the world.

    Better: substitute zero-configuration networking (Microsoft finally stops resisting).

    10. Semantics: agree, although this may be too narrowly defined (for buzzword value).

    Better: redefine as “maturation of enterprise-level content management technologies (e.g., semantics, metadata integration, services).”

  4. In other news, fire is hot.

    “Top 10 Buzzwords of the Previous Three Fiscals” would be a better title for this list.

  5. In response to the comments after the list (not the user submitted, from the blog owner)

    “With no need to touch a box, there will be no need to have the IT staff co-located with the boxes. Oh, oh — can you hear your job going away?”

    I’m not in IT computer support, but a programmer. But I’ll tell you this much – so long as you have people at computers, you will need your IT support guy. You are imagining a world where this cloud computing transition will be seamless and clean, and where the machines the end users sit at – even if they are just thin consoles with little power themselves, that are the access to the cloud… will never have an issue.

    Well, they will. Computers will have issues, I am pretty sure, pretty much forever. Especially with the errors and other problems that originate with a user. An IT staff handles the network topology, manages usernames and passwords, makes sure printers throughout a company have ink, that the phone system is working as expected.

    They maintain servers, regardless of their being physical or in a cloud. They are responsible for backing up sensitive data, for keeping that data secure, for archiving and keeping data clean.

    Anyway, changes are coming, but pretending an IT team will no longer be needed is… naive, at best.

  6. Totally un impress by this list.

    “Fire is hot” as one commenter said.

    Course, maybe the top 10 are just really obvious this time.

    IMO, 10 years is too long a cycle these days.

  7. Other astounding revelations also posted by Gartner today….

    1. Pope is Catholic
    2. Sun found to be quite hot
    3. Earth not flat after all


  8. This list needs more fleshed-out context (I’m sure Gartner must have more info); dropping a list of names won’t help inform us as describing, even briefly, HOW they’ll change the world.

    (6) is a really vague, amorphous blob tho. User interfaces have always continued to evolve gradually, and changing the world has never been temporal point-oriented, but come in waves. It’s true some paradigms (like desktop GUI metaphor and computer mouse) have been adopted, then dominated industry standards for a long time — which leads me to wonder what the next big, common devices will be?

  9. I’d add “water is wet”.

    Some, if not most, of this list is already here.

    10 years ago, did you see Twitter? Or blogs? Or podcasts? or RSS or tags or delicious?

    The top 10 technologies even 5 years from now aren’t on this list.

    Still, water will be wet and fire will be hot at those times.

  10. I remember when Gartner picked the three “winner” OSes about 12 years ago, supposed to be the OSes that that would prove successful in the new era and kick out all competitors. I think it was Win NT, AIX, and Solaris.

    No mention of Linux.

  11. couple of things

    Virtualization just simply improves the up time and actually allows people to correctly manage server process’s Virtualization on the desktop is very much pointless unless you want to reset your machine every login

    Semantics – this is going to power more and more websites to give correct answers wikipedia is a great source and with IE 8 the ability to read in data and post it off to an external site is a great thing encouraging more semantic web type of content that in turn new tools will be able to make sense of


    John Jones

  12. I tend to agree that Gartner’s list is a bit weak this time around. The two that I personally believe have the strongest legs are virtualization and cloud computing (despite the silly name). I’ve been talking to a lot of folks who are using virtualization as a way to halt jobs, move them to a different platform, and then restart them. This sure seems to make it possible to create and run your mission critical apps on boxes that someone else has to mange for you.

    Same thing goes for cloud computing. I agree that shutting down a data center and outsourcing everything won’t be happening anytime soon. But how about a hybrid approach: use the cloud for stuff that is not critical: HR, paychecks, etc. Sounds like a way to get started and minimize your exposure at the same time. Any thoughts?

  13. So everything that’s been around since the sixties then?

    Personally I’d like to see solar technology and open source change the world by giving common people who wouldn’t normally be able to afford it, to be totally independent from the large energy providers. No more war over resources and we can finally start planning our permanent ascent from this planet with aplomb.

  14. Nothing on this list is really new or revolutionary. Most of these have been on the bigger tech roadmap for years. It is really about slow evolution and steady improvement of these tech concepts. Many of these on this list have interconnected dependencies on each other and as they all improve in combination with increases in core computational processing we will see these really develop vs. just be dream concepts that have been around since the dotcom boom.

    The technologies from this list that I would like to see fully develop are better user interface hardware/software and semantic/user agent web discovery technologies.

    Rob Greenlee

  15. I feel déja vu. All of these has been done or in progress. You should have written something new. I am dissapointed. One I can suggest in Online Application Development. Other is advent of parallel languages

  16. Is 1 to 10 just a coincidence or is it a ranking.
    If it is ranking than I would have nr. 7 or better John Brendler’s nr. 7 ranked much higher.
    With IP Telephony collaboration in terms of UC will influence the way we work together much more than we know now.
    I feel we are on the edge of a new Internet era, just like 15 years ago.
    And that also makes it very clear how difficult it is to predict the future.
    15 years ago nobody could have guessed where we are today.
    Still I will thank Gartner every time for the effort, that’s why we are discussing this right now.

  17. black mold exposureblack mold symptoms of exposurewrought iron garden gatesiron garden gates find them herefine thin hair hairstylessearch hair styles for fine thin hairnight vision binocularsbuy night vision binocularslipitor reactionslipitor allergic reactionsluxury beach resort in the philippines

    afordable beach resorts in the philippineshomeopathy for big with great mineral makeup bargainsmineral makeup wholesalersprodam iphone Apple prodam iphone prahacect iphone manualmanual for P 168 iphonefero 52 binocularsnight vision Fero 52 binocularsThe best night vision binoculars here

    night vision binoculars bargainsfree photo albums computer programsfree software to make photo albumsfree tax formsprintable tax forms for free craftmatic air bedcraftmatic air bed adjustable info hereboyd air bedboyd night air bed lowest pricefind air beds in wisconsinbest air beds in wisconsincloud air beds

    best cloud inflatable air bedssealy air beds portableportables air bedsrv luggage racksaluminum made rv luggage racksair bed raisedbest form raised air bedsaircraft support equipmentsbest support equipments for aircraftsbed air informercialsbest informercials bed airmattress sized air beds

    bestair bed mattress antique doorknobsantique doorknob identification tipsdvd player troubleshootingtroubleshooting with the dvd playerflat panel television lcd vs plasmaflat panel lcd television versus plasma pic the bestThe causes of economic recessionwhat are the causes of economic recessionadjustable bed air foam The best bed air foam

    hoof prints antique equestrian printsantique hoof prints equestrian printsBuy air bedadjustablebuy the best adjustable air bedsair beds canadian storesCanadian stores for air beds

    migraine causemigraine treatments floridaflorida headache clinicdrying dessicantair drying dessicantdessicant air dryerpediatric asthmaasthma specialistasthma children specialistcarpet cleaning dallas txcarpet cleaners dallascarpet cleaning dallas

    vero beach vacationvero beach vacationsbeach vacation homes veroms beach vacationsms beach vacationms beach condosmaui beach vacationmaui beach vacationsmaui beach clubbeach vacationsyour beach vacationscheap beach vacations

    bob hairstylebob haircutsbob layeredpob hairstylebobbedclassic bobCare for Curly HairTips for Curly Haircurly hair12r 22.5 best pricetires truck bustires 12r 22.5

    washington new housenew house houstonnew house san antonionew house venturanew houston house houston house tx

  18. 出会いサイト★業界no.1★圧倒的登録数で催促近距離アポが可能出会いサイト!素人獲得数も、広告部数も業界最多!”

  19. 自律神経失調症・障害者をたった3ヶ月で克服したマル秘テクニックを紹介します!障害者ネイティブによるスピーディな授業はまさに圧巻の

  20. ネット お小遣い ネット 内職 アクセスアップ 骨盤 ダイエット 骨盤 ダイエット 下半身 ダイエット 下半身 ダイエット 視力回復 トレーニング 視力回復 トレーニング 視力回復 方法 視力回復 方法 夫 浮気 夫 浮気 日経225先物 日経225先物 日経225先物 ETC マイレージ ETC マイレージ ETC マイレージ 腸内洗浄 子宝 子宝 子宝 いびき いびき いびき バストアップ バストアップ バストアップ


Leave a Comment